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DEL (German hockey league) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Kolner — Adler Mannheim

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Model prediction for 27 October

Kolner41%
Draw in regulation21%
Adler Mannheim38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Kolner 51%, Adler Mannheim 49% including overtime.

5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.9 and 2.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Kolner — Adler Mannheim2.9–2.8
Kolner to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Adler Mannheim to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Kolner
  • Kolner goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Kolner

  • 11.10Nurnberg Ice Tigers4:2
  • 09.10Schwenninger1:4
  • 04.10away · ERC Ingolstadt6:3
  • 02.10Munchen2:4
  • 27.09away · Augsburger Panther6:4

Adler Mannheim

  • 11.10Straubing Tigers2:1
  • 09.10away · Nurnberg Ice Tigers5:2
  • 04.10away · Grizzly Wolfsburg1:4
  • 01.10Iserlohn Roosters6:1
  • 27.09away · ERC Ingolstadt2:3 OT

Head to head

  • 06.03.2026Adler Mannheim — Kolner5:1
  • 14.12.2025Kolner — Adler Mannheim5:4
  • 25.11.2025Kolner — Adler Mannheim3:2 SO
  • 24.10.2025Adler Mannheim — Kolner5:2
  • 02.02.2025Kolner — Adler Mannheim4:7

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsEisbaren Berlin8610131–12+1920
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAdler Mannheim9502230–24+617
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsNurnberg Ice Tigers9501329–23+616
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKrefeld Pinguine8400424–20+412
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKolner8311332–34-212
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsFrankfurt Lowen8211419–18+19

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →