KHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Lada — Sochi
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lada are favourites: 57% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- Lada are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lada — Sochi | 2.6–2.2 | |
| Lada to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 57% | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 43% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lada
- Lada goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Khabarovsk0:1
- 10.10away · Vladivostok3:4 OT
- 05.10Shanghai0:5
- 02.10away · Avangard Omsk1:4
- 30.09away · Yekaterinburg1:3
- 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
- 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
- 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
Head to head
- 18.01.2026Lada — Sochi4:0
- 09.01.2026Sochi — Lada1:4
- 25.11.2025Sochi — Lada3:5
- 07.10.2025Lada — Sochi3:1
- 30.09.2025Sochi — Lada4:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskVladivostokpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
- Salavat UfaBars Kazanpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlCherepovetspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
- SKA St. PetersburgCSKA Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Spartak MoscowShanghaipreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →