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Swiss National League (hockey) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Langnau Tigers — Fribourg

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Model prediction for 28 October

Langnau Tigers39%
Draw in regulation22%
Fribourg39%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Langnau Tigers 50%, Fribourg 50% including overtime.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.4).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.5 and 2.5.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Langnau Tigers — Fribourg2.5–2.5
Langnau Tigers to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Fribourg to win (incl. OT and shootout)50%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)45%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)55%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Langnau Tigers
  • Langnau Tigers goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Langnau Tigers

  • 10.10away · Ajoie4:5 OT
  • 09.10Rapperswil-Jona3:0
  • 03.10EHC Kloten6:2
  • 01.10away · Ambri-Piotta5:1
  • 29.09Lugano4:3

Fribourg

  • 10.10away · Zurich4:5 OT
  • 08.10Ajoie7:2
  • 03.10Ambri-Piotta1:2
  • 02.10away · EHC Kloten4:1
  • 29.09Bern5:2

Head to head

  • 26.09.2026Fribourg — Langnau Tigers4:3 OT
  • 05.03.2026Langnau Tigers — Fribourg3:4
  • 06.01.2026Fribourg — Langnau Tigers4:3 SO
  • 18.10.2025Langnau Tigers — Fribourg6:0
  • 20.09.2025Fribourg — Langnau Tigers5:2

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsServette11522233–29+421
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsLangnau Tigers11512341–34+719
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsFribourg11422338–29+918
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsAjoie11242335–38-316

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →