SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Lulea — IF Bjorkloven
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Lulea are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.
Why
- Lulea are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Lulea — IF Bjorkloven | 2.7–2.2 | |
| Lulea to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| IF Bjorkloven to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 41% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 59% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Lulea
- Lulea goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10Timra2:3 OT
- 08.10Malmo2:3
- 03.10away · Orebro4:1
- 01.10away · Linkoping2:0
- 29.09away · Skelleftea1:6
- 10.10Frolunda3:2
- 08.10away · Brynas1:4
- 03.10away · Linkoping3:2
- 01.10Vaxjo4:2
- 29.09HV 714:2
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Skelleftea | 8 | 4 | +7 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Malmo | 7 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lulea | 8 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Vaxjo | 8 | 2 | -5 | 9 |
SHL on the same day
- BrynasFarjestadpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- OrebroFrolundapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- RogleMalmopreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- SkellefteaLinkopingpreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
- TimraVaxjopreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- DjurgardenHV 71preliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 46% will not happen in roughly 54 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →