SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Malmo — Linkoping

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Model prediction for 27 October

Malmo48%
Draw in regulation22%
Linkoping30%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Malmo are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 40%.

Why

  • Malmo are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.2.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Malmo — Linkoping2.7–2.2
Malmo to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)40%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)60%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • Malmo goals
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Form

Malmo

  • 10.10away · Farjestad2:6
  • 08.10away · Lulea3:2
  • 03.10Brynas1:0
  • 01.10away · Skelleftea3:4 OT
  • 26.09Frolunda1:2

Linkoping

  • 10.10away · Djurgarden1:5
  • 08.10away · Vaxjo3:0
  • 03.10IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 01.10Lulea0:2
  • 26.09away · Rogle1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 28.02.2026Linkoping — Malmo5:2
  • 03.01.2026Malmo — Linkoping5:0
  • 04.12.2025Malmo — Linkoping3:0
  • 27.09.2025Linkoping — Malmo2:5
  • 04.03.2025Linkoping — Malmo3:0

Full record: 12 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOrebro8302318–22-411
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMalmo7212218–22-410
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • FrolundaRoglepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →