Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK
Mlada Boleslav — Sparta Prague
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 30 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Sparta Prague are clear favourites: 65% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 36%.
Why
- Sparta Prague are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.0.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Mlada Boleslav — Sparta Prague | 2.0–2.7 | |
| Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 35% | |
| Sparta Prague to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 65% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 36% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 64% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Mlada Boleslav
- Mlada Boleslav goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10Litvinov2:1
- 09.10away · Kladno3:4
- 04.10Liberec3:5
- 02.10away · Kometa Brno2:3 SO
- 29.09Plzen1:4
- 11.10Vitkovice3:0
- 08.10Kometa Brno3:4 OT
- 04.10away · Pardubice4:6
- 01.10Ceske Budejovice4:2
- 29.09away · Mountfield HK3:4
Head to head
- 22.09.2026Sparta Prague — Mlada Boleslav3:5
- 22.02.2026Mlada Boleslav — Sparta Prague2:3
- 29.01.2026Sparta Prague — Mlada Boleslav4:1
- 02.11.2025Sparta Prague — Mlada Boleslav2:0
- 26.09.2025Mlada Boleslav — Sparta Prague2:7
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kladno | 10 | 3 | -3 | 15 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Sparta Prague | 10 | 4 | +3 | 14 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- LitvinovVitkovicepreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- PlzenTrinecpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
- Karlovy VaryPardubicepreliminary43572The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- KladnoLiberecpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0
- OlomoucCeske Budejovicepreliminary44562The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →