Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Mogilev — Novopolotsk

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Model prediction for 27 October

Mogilev48%
Draw in regulation21%
Novopolotsk31%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Mogilev are favourites: 60% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects plenty of goals: 5.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 55%.

Why

  • Mogilev are more dangerous in attack: 3.1 expected goals against 2.6.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Mogilev — Novopolotsk3.1–2.6
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)60%
Novopolotsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)40%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)55%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)45%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Mogilev
  • Mogilev goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Mogilev

  • 11.10Gomel1:5
  • 09.10Gomel2:3
  • 06.10away · Lida1:5
  • 04.10away · Lida0:6
  • 30.09Vitebsk0:2

Novopolotsk

  • 11.10Molodechno2:3
  • 09.10Molodechno1:6
  • 06.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 04.10away · Neman Grodno1:4
  • 29.09Gomel3:1

Head to head

  • 17.02.2026Novopolotsk — Mogilev7:1
  • 15.02.2026Novopolotsk — Mogilev2:6
  • 19.10.2025Mogilev — Novopolotsk3:2 OT
  • 17.10.2025Mogilev — Novopolotsk3:6
  • 12.01.2025Novopolotsk — Mogilev1:0

Full record: 49 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • SlavutychBrestpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:26.0
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 124%Model's score: 2:14.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 48% will not happen in roughly 52 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →