Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Friday, 16 October, MSK

Neman Grodno — Mogilev

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Model prediction for 16 October

Neman Grodno56%
Draw in regulation21%
Mogilev23%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Neman Grodno are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.

Why

  • Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Neman Grodno — Mogilev2.8–1.9
Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)38%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)62%

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  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Neman Grodno
  • Neman Grodno goals
  • Overtime chance
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Form

Neman Grodno

  • 11.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha1:0
  • 09.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha3:2 OT
  • 06.10Novopolotsk4:1
  • 04.10Novopolotsk4:1
  • 29.09away · Brest2:4

Mogilev

  • 11.10Gomel1:5
  • 09.10Gomel2:3
  • 06.10away · Lida1:5
  • 04.10away · Lida0:6
  • 30.09Vitebsk0:2

Head to head

  • 29.01.2026Mogilev — Neman Grodno0:4
  • 27.01.2026Mogilev — Neman Grodno5:2
  • 25.10.2025Neman Grodno — Mogilev4:2
  • 23.10.2025Neman Grodno — Mogilev3:2
  • 31.01.2025Neman Grodno — Mogilev6:4

Full record: 41 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →