Neman Grodno — Mogilev
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Neman Grodno are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Neman Grodno are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Neman Grodno — Mogilev | 2.8–1.9 | |
| Neman Grodno to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 68% | |
| Mogilev to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 32% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
109 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Neman Grodno
- Neman Grodno goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha1:0
- 09.10away · Lokomotiv Orsha3:2 OT
- 06.10Novopolotsk4:1
- 04.10Novopolotsk4:1
- 29.09away · Brest2:4
Head to head
- 29.01.2026Mogilev — Neman Grodno0:4
- 27.01.2026Mogilev — Neman Grodno5:2
- 25.10.2025Neman Grodno — Mogilev4:2
- 23.10.2025Neman Grodno — Mogilev3:2
- 31.01.2025Neman Grodno — Mogilev6:4
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- 85151The model's most likely outcome: 115%Model's score: 4:15.0
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →