KHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Nizhny Novgorod — Spartak Moscow
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Nizhny Novgorod 51%, Spartak Moscow 49% including overtime.
5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.2).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 45%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.6 and 2.5.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Nizhny Novgorod — Spartak Moscow | 2.6–2.5 | |
| Nizhny Novgorod to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Spartak Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 45% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 55% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Nizhny Novgorod
- Nizhny Novgorod goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Magnitogorsk2:3 OT
- 08.10Cherepovets2:3
- 05.10away · Dinamo Minsk2:1 SO
- 03.10away · Sochi6:0
- 01.10away · Dynamo Moscow3:1
- 09.10away · Sochi2:0
- 07.10away · Sochi5:2
- 04.10Barys Astana3:4 SO
- 02.10Magnitogorsk0:2
- 30.09Tractor Chelyabinsk2:4
Head to head
- 05.09.2026Spartak Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod0:1
- 17.01.2026Spartak Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod0:1
- 04.01.2026Nizhny Novgorod — Spartak Moscow6:7
- 20.11.2025Nizhny Novgorod — Spartak Moscow4:3
- 14.09.2025Spartak Moscow — Nizhny Novgorod3:4 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Cherepovets | 15 | 9 | +4 | 20 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Nizhny Novgorod | 14 | 9 | +15 | 19 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Niznekamsk | 15 | 8 | +9 | 18 |
| 12, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Barys Astana | 14 | 8 | +14 | 16 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokKhabarovskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- NovosibirskNiznekamskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Tractor ChelyabinskCSKA Moscowpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
- ShanghaiSalavat Ufapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- SochiAvangard Omskpreliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Dinamo MinskDynamo Moscowpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 40% will not happen in roughly 60 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →