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Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Friday, 30 October, MSK

Olomouc — Ceske Budejovice

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Model prediction for 30 October

Olomouc34%
Draw in regulation22%
Ceske Budejovice44%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Ceske Budejovice are favourites: 56% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.0 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 43%.

Why

  • Ceske Budejovice are more dangerous in attack: 2.7 expected goals against 2.4.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Olomouc — Ceske Budejovice2.4–2.7
Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout)44%
Ceske Budejovice to win (incl. OT and shootout)56%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)43%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)57%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Olomouc
  • Olomouc goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Olomouc

  • 11.10away · Mountfield HK1:3
  • 09.10away · Litvinov1:3
  • 04.10Trinec0:9
  • 02.10away · Liberec0:2
  • 29.09Vitkovice3:4

Ceske Budejovice

  • 11.10Liberec4:3
  • 08.10away · Plzen1:4
  • 05.10Kometa Brno5:1
  • 01.10away · Sparta Prague2:4
  • 29.09away · Pardubice2:5

Head to head

  • 20.09.2026Ceske Budejovice — Olomouc3:2
  • 04.03.2026Olomouc — Ceske Budejovice3:2
  • 04.01.2026Ceske Budejovice — Olomouc2:1
  • 23.11.2025Olomouc — Ceske Budejovice1:2 OT
  • 05.10.2025Ceske Budejovice — Olomouc1:3

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMountfield HK10420428–26+216
6, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsCeske Budejovice10501427–31-416
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsKladno10322329–32-315
13Vitkovice9201621–32-117
14, Relegation play-offOlomouc10110818–36-185

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

  • LitvinovVitkovicepreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
  • Mlada BoleslavSparta Praguepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:34.6
  • PlzenTrinecpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.4
  • Karlovy VaryPardubicepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • KladnoLiberecpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.0

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 44% will not happen in roughly 56 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →