Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK
Olomouc — Mlada Boleslav
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 22 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Olomouc 53%, Mlada Boleslav 47% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.5 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Olomouc — Mlada Boleslav | 2.3–2.2 | |
| Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 53% | |
| Mlada Boleslav to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 47% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Olomouc
- Olomouc goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 11.10away · Mountfield HK1:3
- 09.10away · Litvinov1:3
- 04.10Trinec0:9
- 02.10away · Liberec0:2
- 29.09Vitkovice3:4
- 11.10Litvinov2:1
- 09.10away · Kladno3:4
- 04.10Liberec3:5
- 02.10away · Kometa Brno2:3 SO
- 29.09Plzen1:4
Head to head
- 24.02.2026Mlada Boleslav — Olomouc3:2 SO
- 28.12.2025Olomouc — Mlada Boleslav2:5
- 14.11.2025Mlada Boleslav — Olomouc4:1
- 28.09.2025Olomouc — Mlada Boleslav3:1
- 26.01.2025Olomouc — Mlada Boleslav2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Mlada Boleslav | 10 | 2 | -13 | 9 |
| 13 | Vitkovice | 9 | 2 | -11 | 7 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | Olomouc | 10 | 1 | -18 | 5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 41% will not happen in roughly 59 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →