VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK

Olympia — Omskie Krylia

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Model prediction for 18 October

Olympia27%
Draw in regulation22%
Omskie Krylia51%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Omskie Krylia are clear favourites: 64% to win including overtime and shootout.

4.5 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (4.7).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 34%.

Why

  • Omskie Krylia are more dangerous in attack: 2.6 expected goals against 1.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Olympia — Omskie Krylia1.9–2.6
Olympia to win (incl. OT and shootout)36%
Omskie Krylia to win (incl. OT and shootout)64%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)34%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)66%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Olympia
  • Olympia goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Olympia

  • 13.10away · Dyn. Altay4:1
  • 11.10away · Metallurg Novokuznetsk0:2
  • 09.10away · Krasnoyarsk4:3
  • 06.10away · HC Norilsk2:3
  • 01.10Kaluga2:3 OT

Omskie Krylia

  • 13.10Kristall Saratov7:1
  • 11.10Dizel3:2
  • 09.10Tambov5:1
  • 07.10Buran Voronezh0:1
  • 03.10Rubin Tyumen4:3

Head to head

  • 26.12.2025Olympia — Omskie Krylia1:2
  • 19.11.2025Omskie Krylia — Olympia2:0
  • 02.03.2025Olympia — Omskie Krylia2:3
  • 20.09.2024Omskie Krylia — Olympia1:2

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
2, PlayoffsBuran Voronezh14102231–22+922
3, PlayoffsOmskie Krylia13100337–19+1820
4, PlayoffsHC Norilsk1592435–33+220
23Dyn. Altay1252525–30-512
24Olympia1451837–42-511
25Zvezda Moscow1451833–45-1211

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

VHL on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 125%Model's score: 2:13.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 51% will not happen in roughly 49 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →