SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK
Orebro — Frolunda
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 29 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Frolunda are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 38%.
Why
- Frolunda are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Orebro — Frolunda | 2.2–2.5 | |
| Orebro to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Frolunda to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 38% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 62% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Orebro
- Orebro goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 10.10away · IF Bjorkloven2:3
- 08.10away · Timra1:4
- 03.10Djurgarden4:2
- 01.10Brynas2:1
- 26.09away · Malmo2:1
Head to head
- 19.02.2026Orebro — Frolunda5:4 OT
- 24.01.2026Frolunda — Orebro4:5
- 13.11.2025Frolunda — Orebro3:2
- 18.09.2025Orebro — Frolunda1:2
- 15.02.2025Orebro — Frolunda2:5
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Farjestad | 8 | 7 | +26 | 22 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Frolunda | 8 | 5 | +6 | 17 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | IF Bjorkloven | 8 | 5 | +2 | 17 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Rogle | 8 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Orebro | 8 | 3 | -4 | 11 |
| 8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Malmo | 7 | 2 | -4 | 10 |
SHL on the same day
- BrynasFarjestadpreliminary49512The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- LuleaIF Bjorklovenpreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
- RogleMalmopreliminary68321The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
- SkellefteaLinkopingpreliminary77231The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
- TimraVaxjopreliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- DjurgardenHV 71preliminary54461The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →