Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Pardubice — Litvinov
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Pardubice are clear favourites: 80% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.3 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.1).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 49%.
Why
- Pardubice are more dangerous in attack: 3.5 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Pardubice — Litvinov | 3.5–1.8 | |
| Pardubice to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 80% | |
| Litvinov to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 20% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 49% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Pardubice
- Pardubice goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10Trinec5:4 OT
- 09.10away · Vitkovice3:2
- 04.10Sparta Prague6:4
- 02.10Plzen4:2
- 29.09Ceske Budejovice5:2
- 11.10away · Mlada Boleslav1:2
- 09.10Olomouc3:1
- 04.10Kladno2:3 OT
- 02.10away · Trinec2:3
- 29.09Liberec5:4 SO
Head to head
- 18.09.2026Litvinov — Pardubice1:3
- 27.02.2026Litvinov — Pardubice1:4
- 30.12.2025Pardubice — Litvinov3:2
- 16.11.2025Litvinov — Pardubice1:4
- 30.09.2025Pardubice — Litvinov2:1 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Trinec | 10 | 9 | +26 | 28 |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Pardubice | 11 | 8 | +16 | 26 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karlovy Vary | 9 | 6 | +6 | 18 |
| 9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Liberec | 10 | 4 | 0 | 14 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Litvinov | 10 | 3 | -4 | 12 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Kometa Brno | 9 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
Czech Extraliga on the same day
- Ceske BudejoviceMountfield HKpreliminary52481The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
- PlzenOlomoucpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.4
- Karlovy VaryMlada Boleslavpreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
- KladnoSparta Praguepreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →