Czech Extraliga (hockey) · Tuesday, 27 October, 19:30 MSK

Plzen — Olomouc

Model prediction for 27 October

Plzen59%

Draw in regulation21%

Olomouc20%

Model estimate at 23:15 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Plzen are clear favourites: 72% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.4 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 32%.

Why

Plzen are more dangerous in attack: 2.8 expected goals against 1.7.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Plzen — Olomouc		2.8–1.7
Plzen to win (incl. OT and shootout)		72%
Olomouc to win (incl. OT and shootout)		28%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)		32%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)		68%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All totals
Totals incl. OT
Handicap Plzen
Plzen goals
Overtime chance
Full score grid

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Form

Plzen

11.10away · Kometa Brno2:1 OT
08.10Ceske Budejovice4:1
04.10away · Karlovy Vary1:4
02.10away · Pardubice2:4
29.09away · Mlada Boleslav4:1

Olomouc

11.10away · Mountfield HK1:3
09.10away · Litvinov1:3
04.10Trinec0:9
02.10away · Liberec0:2
29.09Vitkovice3:4

Head to head

18.09.2026Olomouc — Plzen3:2 OT
12.01.2026Plzen — Olomouc3:2
30.11.2025Olomouc — Plzen1:0
16.10.2025Plzen — Olomouc2:3
12.09.2025Olomouc — Plzen1:4

Full record: 13 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	OTW	OTL	L	Goals	+/−	Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Karlovy Vary	9	6	0	0	3	22–16	+6	18
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Plzen	10	3	3	1	3	25–22	+3	16
5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Mountfield HK	10	4	2	0	4	28–26	+2	16
13	Vitkovice	9	2	0	1	6	21–32	-11	7
14, Relegation play-off	Olomouc	10	1	1	0	8	18–36	-18	5

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

Czech Extraliga on the same day

19:30
Ceske BudejoviceMountfield HKpreliminary
5248
1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:24.8
20:00
Karlovy VaryMlada Boleslavpreliminary
6733
1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.3
20:00
KladnoSparta Praguepreliminary
4258
2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:45.0
20:00
PardubiceLitvinovpreliminary
8020
1The model's most likely outcome: 117%Model's score: 4:15.3

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →