PremiumTelegram
EN
Sections

SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Rogle — Malmo

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 29 October

Rogle56%
Draw in regulation21%
Malmo24%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Rogle are clear favourites: 68% to win including overtime and shootout.

The model expects few goals: 4.9 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 41%.

Why

  • Rogle are more dangerous in attack: 2.9 expected goals against 2.0.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Rogle — Malmo2.9–2.0
Rogle to win (incl. OT and shootout)68%
Malmo to win (incl. OT and shootout)32%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)41%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)59%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Rogle
  • Rogle goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Rogle

  • 10.10away · Skelleftea2:3
  • 08.10HV 714:3
  • 03.10away · Vaxjo2:3
  • 01.10Timra4:1
  • 26.09Linkoping2:1 OT

Malmo

  • 10.10away · Farjestad2:6
  • 08.10away · Lulea3:2
  • 03.10Brynas1:0
  • 01.10away · Skelleftea3:4 OT
  • 26.09Frolunda1:2

Head to head

  • 05.02.2026Malmo — Rogle1:4
  • 17.01.2026Rogle — Malmo4:6
  • 23.10.2025Rogle — Malmo5:3
  • 16.10.2025Malmo — Rogle2:3
  • 15.03.2025Rogle — Malmo0:3

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsRogle8310420–18+211
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsOrebro8302318–22-411
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMalmo7212218–22-410
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLulea8301420–26-610

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • LuleaIF Bjorklovenpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • OrebroFrolundapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • SkellefteaLinkopingpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 118%Model's score: 4:15.1
  • TimraVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • DjurgardenHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →