KHL · Sunday, 25 October, MSK
Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 25 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Salavat Ufa 51%, Bars Kazan 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.4 and 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan | 2.4–2.4 | |
| Salavat Ufa to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Bars Kazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Salavat Ufa
- Salavat Ufa goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10Niznekamsk4:3
- 09.10away · Magnitogorsk1:7
- 07.10away · Novosibirsk5:4 OT
- 05.10away · CSKA Moscow1:3
- 02.10Novosibirsk2:4
- 12.10Sochi2:3
- 10.10Cherepovets1:4
- 05.10Lokomotiv Yaroslavl0:2
- 02.10Tractor Chelyabinsk2:3
- 30.09Barys Astana4:1
Head to head
- 16.09.2026Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan3:4 OT
- 28.01.2026Bars Kazan — Salavat Ufa3:4 OT
- 20.12.2025Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan1:2
- 16.12.2025Bars Kazan — Salavat Ufa6:3
- 05.12.2025Salavat Ufa — Bars Kazan4:1
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Khabarovsk | 14 | 8 | +3 | 17 |
| 10, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Salavat Ufa | 15 | 8 | -1 | 17 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Dinamo Minsk | 15 | 6 | -6 | 17 |
| 13, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Spartak Moscow | 14 | 7 | +8 | 16 |
| 14, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Bars Kazan | 15 | 7 | -1 | 15 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 8 in each conference | Yekaterinburg | 13 | 6 | +2 | 14 |
KHL on the same day
- KhabarovskVladivostokpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 2:14.6
- LadaSochipreliminary57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
- Lokomotiv YaroslavlCherepovetspreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.3
- SKA St. PetersburgCSKA Moscowpreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Spartak MoscowShanghaipreliminary67331The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →