SHL (Swedish Hockey League) · Thursday, 29 October, MSK

Skelleftea — Linkoping

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Model prediction for 29 October

Skelleftea65%
Draw in regulation18%
Linkoping17%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Skelleftea are clear favourites: 77% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.1 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.3).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 44%.

Why

  • Skelleftea are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 1.8.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Skelleftea — Linkoping3.3–1.8
Skelleftea to win (incl. OT and shootout)77%
Linkoping to win (incl. OT and shootout)23%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)44%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)56%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Skelleftea
  • Skelleftea goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Skelleftea

  • 10.10Rogle3:2
  • 08.10Farjestad1:5
  • 03.10away · Timra4:1
  • 01.10Malmo4:3 OT
  • 29.09Lulea6:1

Linkoping

  • 10.10away · Djurgarden1:5
  • 08.10away · Vaxjo3:0
  • 03.10IF Bjorkloven2:3
  • 01.10Lulea0:2
  • 26.09away · Rogle1:2 OT

Head to head

  • 12.03.2026Skelleftea — Linkoping5:2
  • 20.12.2025Skelleftea — Linkoping4:5 SO
  • 25.10.2025Linkoping — Skelleftea0:4
  • 20.09.2025Linkoping — Skelleftea0:4
  • 01.03.2025Linkoping — Skelleftea2:5

Full record: 16 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsIF Bjorkloven8510222–20+217
4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSkelleftea8411228–21+715
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsBrynas8400423–18+512
13, Relegation play-offTimra8120515–22-77
14, Relegation play-offLinkoping7201412–23-117

Season 2026/27 · 3 points for a regulation win, 2 for an overtime or shootout win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

SHL on the same day

  • BrynasFarjestadpreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 4:24.9
  • OrebroFrolundapreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
  • RogleMalmopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 3:14.9
  • TimraVaxjopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.8
  • DjurgardenHV 71preliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →