KHL · Sunday, 1 November, MSK
Sochi — Avangard Omsk
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 1 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Avangard Omsk are clear favourites: 75% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.8 in total, against a competition average of 5.2.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 39%.
Why
- Avangard Omsk are more dangerous in attack: 3.0 expected goals against 1.8.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Sochi — Avangard Omsk | 1.8–3.0 | |
| Sochi to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 25% | |
| Avangard Omsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 75% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 39% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 61% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Sochi
- Sochi goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Bars Kazan3:2
- 09.10Spartak Moscow0:2
- 07.10Spartak Moscow2:5
- 03.10Nizhny Novgorod0:6
- 30.09Salavat Ufa6:3
- 10.10away · Barys Astana1:5
- 08.10away · Niznekamsk1:0
- 06.10away · Yekaterinburg0:4
- 02.10Lada4:1
- 28.09Magnitogorsk1:5
Head to head
- 10.09.2026Avangard Omsk — Sochi4:1
- 06.03.2026Sochi — Avangard Omsk3:1
- 04.12.2025Avangard Omsk — Sochi5:2
- 04.03.2025Sochi — Avangard Omsk2:3 OT
- 04.12.2024Avangard Omsk — Sochi6:0
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Novosibirsk | 15 | 5 | -12 | 13 |
| 19 | Avangard Omsk | 13 | 6 | -12 | 12 |
| 20 | Tractor Chelyabinsk | 13 | 5 | -9 | 10 |
| 21 | Sochi | 14 | 3 | -30 | 6 |
| 22 | Lada | 15 | 1 | -35 | 6 |
KHL on the same day
- VladivostokKhabarovskpreliminary55451The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 3:14.6
- NovosibirskNiznekamskpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.8
- Tractor ChelyabinskCSKA Moscowpreliminary48522The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.4
- Nizhny NovgorodSpartak Moscowpreliminary51491The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.1
- ShanghaiSalavat Ufapreliminary42582The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- Dinamo MinskDynamo Moscowpreliminary64361The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 61% will not happen in roughly 39 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →