AHL (American Hockey League) · Sunday, 18 October, MSK
Toronto Marlies — Belleville Senators
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 18 October
In short
Toronto Marlies are favourites: 61% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (5.8).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Toronto Marlies are more dangerous in attack: 3.2 expected goals against 2.6.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Toronto Marlies — Belleville Senators | 3.2–2.6 | |
| Toronto Marlies to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 61% | |
| Belleville Senators to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 39% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Toronto Marlies
- Toronto Marlies goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 11.10away · Hamilton Hammers5:2
- 10.10away · Hamilton Hammers5:4 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers5:3
- 03.10away · Rochester Americans1:3
- 20.06Chicago Wolves4:3
- 12.10Utica Comets2:4
- 11.10away · Syracuse Crunch3:2
- 04.10Rochester Americans3:2 SO
- 03.10Hamilton Hammers2:5
- 19.04away · Syracuse Crunch0:4
Head to head
- 11.01.2026Belleville Senators — Toronto Marlies6:3
- 10.01.2026Toronto Marlies — Belleville Senators6:1
- 26.12.2025Toronto Marlies — Belleville Senators3:2
- 21.12.2025Belleville Senators — Toronto Marlies8:4
- 21.12.2025Toronto Marlies — Belleville Senators4:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts | P% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colorado Eagles | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 7 | Toronto Marlies | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 8 | Hershey Bears | 4 | 3 | +4 | 6 | .750 |
| 21 | Charlotte Checkers | 4 | 2 | -1 | 4 | .500 |
| 22 | Belleville Senators | 4 | 2 | -3 | 4 | .500 |
| 23 | Hamilton Hammers | 4 | 1 | -3 | 3 | .375 |
AHL on the same day
- 55451The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:25.3
- 69311The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 4:25.5
- 46542The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.1
- 47532The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 2:35.3
- 50502The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:35.7
- 38622The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.2
- 56441The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.6
- 35652The model's most likely outcome: 221%Model's score: 2:45.3
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 49% will not happen in roughly 51 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →