Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Utah Mammoth are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.9.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins | 3.1–2.9 | |
| Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 54% | |
| Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 46% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 61% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 39% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Utah Mammoth
- Utah Mammoth goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
- 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
- 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
- 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
- 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4
- 14.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:5
- 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
- 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
- 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
- 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3
Head to head
- 15.03.2026Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins3:4
- 14.12.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth4:5 OT
- 30.01.2025Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins2:3 OT
- 24.11.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth1:6
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Seattle Kraken | 7 | 5 | +10 | 10 |
| 5, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Utah Mammoth | 7 | 5 | +8 | 10 |
| 6, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Ottawa Senators | 7 | 5 | +2 | 10 |
| 14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Florida Panthers | 7 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 15, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Pittsburgh Penguins | 7 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
| 16 | St. Louis Blues | 6 | 3 | +3 | 7 |
NHL on the same day
- 57431The model's most likely outcome: 123%Model's score: 4:15.6
- 34662The model's most likely outcome: 222%Model's score: 1:45.3
- 58421The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 5:26.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →