NHL · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK

Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins

☆ Save match

Model prediction for 20 October

Utah Mammoth42%
Draw in regulation23%
Pittsburgh Penguins35%
Model estimate at MSK

In short

Utah Mammoth are favourites: 54% to win including overtime and shootout.

5.9 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 61%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 3.1 and 2.9.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins3.1–2.9
Utah Mammoth to win (incl. OT and shootout)54%
Pittsburgh Penguins to win (incl. OT and shootout)46%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)61%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)39%

111 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Utah Mammoth
  • Utah Mammoth goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Utah Mammoth

  • 14.10Toronto Maple Leafs5:4
  • 11.10away · Buffalo Sabres4:1
  • 09.10away · Boston Bruins1:6
  • 07.10away · New Jersey Devils5:3
  • 05.10away · New York Rangers2:4

Pittsburgh Penguins

  • 14.10away · Chicago Blackhawks3:5
  • 11.10Dallas Stars2:1 SO
  • 10.10away · Columbus Blue Jackets2:3 SO
  • 08.10away · Washington Capitals3:5
  • 06.10Winnipeg Jets2:3

Head to head

  • 15.03.2026Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins3:4
  • 14.12.2025Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth4:5 OT
  • 30.01.2025Utah Mammoth — Pittsburgh Penguins2:3 OT
  • 24.11.2024Pittsburgh Penguins — Utah Mammoth1:6

Full record: 4 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWOTLLGoals+/−Pts
4, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionSeattle Kraken750229–19+1010
5, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionUtah Mammoth750227–19+810
6, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionOttawa Senators750221–19+210
14, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conferenceFlorida Panthers732219–20-18
15, Playoffs: top 3 in each divisionPittsburgh Penguins731325–22+37
16St. Louis Blues631221–18+37

Season 2026/27 · 2 points for a win, 1 for an overtime or shootout loss

Full table

NHL on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 42% will not happen in roughly 58 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →