Liiga (Finnish hockey league) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK
Vaasan Sport — Assat
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 31 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Assat are favourites: 58% to win including overtime and shootout.
The model expects few goals: 4.7 in total, against a competition average of 5.3.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 37%.
Why
- Assat are more dangerous in attack: 2.5 expected goals against 2.2.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vaasan Sport — Assat | 2.1–2.5 | |
| Vaasan Sport to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 42% | |
| Assat to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 58% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 37% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 63% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vaasan Sport
- Vaasan Sport goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 07.10Ilves2:1
- 03.10IFK Helsinki2:3 OT
- 26.09Karpat1:2
- 23.09Kiekko-Espoo0:1 OT
- 19.09away · Karpat2:3
- 09.10Hameenlinna2:3 SO
- 07.10away · Jukurit1:0
- 03.10away · Lukko5:2
- 02.10Lukko0:3
- 26.09away · Hameenlinna4:5 OT
Head to head
- 15.09.2026Assat — Vaasan Sport5:1
- 21.02.2026Assat — Vaasan Sport4:1
- 30.12.2025Vaasan Sport — Assat2:1
- 17.10.2025Vaasan Sport — Assat1:2
- 08.10.2025Assat — Vaasan Sport4:2
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Jukurit | 14 | 6 | +7 | 24 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Assat | 12 | 6 | +3 | 22 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Karpat | 13 | 5 | +1 | 22 |
| 14, Relegation play-off | IFK Helsinki | 11 | 3 | -3 | 13 |
| 15, Relegation play-off | Vaasan Sport | 11 | 3 | -11 | 13 |
| 16, Relegation play-off | Jokerit | 13 | 2 | -17 | 10 |
Liiga on the same day
- IlvesKalPapreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.1
- JYPJokeritpreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 119%Model's score: 3:15.2
- KarpatJukuritpreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 122%Model's score: 3:14.9
- KooKooIFK Helsinkipreliminary63371The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.5
- PelicansKiekko-Espoopreliminary50502The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:24.5
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 45% will not happen in roughly 55 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →