Vitebsk — Lida
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 28 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Close to a coin flip: Vitebsk 51%, Lida 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Vitebsk — Lida | 2.3–2.3 | |
| Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 35% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 65% |
111 more model lines in Premium
All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Vitebsk
- Vitebsk goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
Form
- 11.10away · Baranavichy5:3
- 09.10away · Baranavichy2:4
- 05.10away · Slavutych3:4
- 03.10away · Slavutych3:6
- 30.09away · Mogilev2:0
- 12.10away · Slavutych4:0
- 10.10away · Slavutych0:3
- 06.10Mogilev5:1
- 04.10Mogilev6:0
- 29.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:5 SO
Head to head
- 30.01.2026Vitebsk — Lida2:1
- 28.01.2026Vitebsk — Lida1:2
- 26.10.2025Lida — Vitebsk1:4
- 24.10.2025Lida — Vitebsk4:0
- 19.12.2024Lida — Vitebsk3:5
Belarus Extraleague on the same day
- Lokomotiv OrshaZhlobinpreliminary18822The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.4
- SoligorskGomelpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
- BaranavichyMolodechnopreliminary28722The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →