Belarus Extraleague (hockey) · Wednesday, 28 October, MSK

Vitebsk — Lida

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Model prediction for 28 October

Vitebsk39%
Draw in regulation23%
Lida37%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Close to a coin flip: Vitebsk 51%, Lida 49% including overtime.

The model expects few goals: 4.6 in total, against a competition average of 5.1.

Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 35%.

Why

  • The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.3 and 2.3.

Probabilities

Expected goals: Vitebsk — Lida2.3–2.3
Vitebsk to win (incl. OT and shootout)51%
Lida to win (incl. OT and shootout)49%
Total over 5.5 (regulation)35%
Total under 5.5 (regulation)65%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All totals
  • Totals incl. OT
  • Handicap Vitebsk
  • Vitebsk goals
  • Overtime chance
  • Full score grid
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Form

Vitebsk

  • 11.10away · Baranavichy5:3
  • 09.10away · Baranavichy2:4
  • 05.10away · Slavutych3:4
  • 03.10away · Slavutych3:6
  • 30.09away · Mogilev2:0

Lida

  • 12.10away · Slavutych4:0
  • 10.10away · Slavutych0:3
  • 06.10Mogilev5:1
  • 04.10Mogilev6:0
  • 29.09away · Lokomotiv Orsha4:5 SO

Head to head

  • 30.01.2026Vitebsk — Lida2:1
  • 28.01.2026Vitebsk — Lida1:2
  • 26.10.2025Lida — Vitebsk1:4
  • 24.10.2025Lida — Vitebsk4:0
  • 19.12.2024Lida — Vitebsk3:5

Full record: 43 meetings →

Belarus Extraleague on the same day

  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 216%Model's score: 1:45.4
  • SoligorskGomelpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 121%Model's score: 4:25.0
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 220%Model's score: 1:35.2

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →