NHL · Thursday, 8 October, MSK · Canada Life Centre
Winnipeg Jets — Colorado Avalanche
☆ Save matchModel prediction and result
3:2Missed
In short
Final score 3:2: the model's most likely outcome, Colorado Avalanche to win (66% incl. overtime), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 66% fails in about 34 matches out of 100 on average.
Colorado Avalanche are clear favourites: 66% to win including overtime and shootout.
5.7 goals expected in total — close to the competition average (6.0).
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 58%.
Why
- Colorado Avalanche are more dangerous in attack: 3.3 expected goals against 2.4.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Winnipeg Jets — Colorado Avalanche | 2.4–3.3 | |
| Winnipeg Jets to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 34% | |
| Colorado Avalanche to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 66% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 58% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 42% |
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- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Winnipeg Jets
- Winnipeg Jets goals
- Overtime chance
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Form
- 06.10away · Pittsburgh Penguins3:2
- 04.10away · Detroit Red Wings3:2
- 03.10Boston Bruins3:4 OT
- 17.04San Jose Sharks1:6
- 15.04away · Utah Mammoth3:5
- 04.10St. Louis Blues6:1
- 01.10Los Angeles Kings8:4
- 27.05away · Vegas Golden Knights1:2
- 25.05away · Vegas Golden Knights3:5
- 23.05Vegas Golden Knights1:3
Head to head
- 29.03.2026Colorado Avalanche — Winnipeg Jets2:4
- 27.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Colorado Avalanche2:3
- 14.03.2026Winnipeg Jets — Colorado Avalanche3:1
- 20.12.2025Colorado Avalanche — Winnipeg Jets3:2
- 23.01.2025Colorado Avalanche — Winnipeg Jets2:3 OT
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Minnesota Wild | 7 | 4 | +5 | 9 |
| 9, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Winnipeg Jets | 6 | 4 | +1 | 9 |
| 10, Playoffs: wild cards, 2 per conference | Colorado Avalanche | 6 | 4 | +10 | 8 |
| 11, Playoffs: top 3 in each division | Boston Bruins | 6 | 4 | +7 | 8 |
Next matches
- Calgary FlamesColorado Avalanche9 October · NHL36642The most likely outcome came true: 223%3:7Final score 3:7. Model's score: 1:4.5.4
- Winnipeg JetsAnaheim Ducks10 October · NHL55451The most likely outcome did not happen: 123%1:5Final score 1:5. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
NHL on the same day
- 52481The most likely outcome came true: 123%5:3Final score 5:3. Model's score: 5:2.5.8
- 46542The most likely outcome came true: 222%2:5Final score 2:5. Model's score: 2:5, exactly right.6.4
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 53% will not happen in roughly 47 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →