VHL (All-Russian Hockey League) · Tuesday, 20 October, MSK
Zvezda Moscow — Ryazan
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 20 October
In short
Close to a coin flip: Zvezda Moscow 51%, Ryazan 49% including overtime.
The model expects few goals: 4.3 in total, against a competition average of 4.7.
Over 5.5 goals in regulation — 30%.
Why
- The teams are almost level on expected goals: 2.2 and 2.1.
Probabilities
| Expected goals: Zvezda Moscow — Ryazan | 2.2–2.1 | |
| Zvezda Moscow to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 51% | |
| Ryazan to win (incl. OT and shootout) | 49% | |
| Total over 5.5 (regulation) | 30% | |
| Total under 5.5 (regulation) | 70% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All totals
- Totals incl. OT
- Handicap Zvezda Moscow
- Zvezda Moscow goals
- Overtime chance
- Full score grid
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Form
- 12.10away · Bars2:5
- 10.10away · Almetyevsk5:3
- 08.10away · CSK VVS3:2
- 02.10Dinamo St. Petersburg2:4
- 30.09SKA-VMF St. Petersburg1:3
- 12.10Chelmet Chelyabinsk8:0
- 10.10Magnitka Magnitogorsk4:3 SO
- 08.10Orsk2:3 OT
- 03.10away · Perm0:1
- 01.10away · Toros Neftekamsk0:3
Head to head
- 14.03.2026Ryazan — Zvezda Moscow2:1
- 05.09.2025Zvezda Moscow — Ryazan0:1
- 10.12.2024Ryazan — Zvezda Moscow6:3
- 26.11.2024Zvezda Moscow — Ryazan6:0
- 12.02.2024Zvezda Moscow — Ryazan1:3
Table
| # | Team | P | W | +/− | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Toros Neftekamsk | 13 | 6 | -1 | 14 |
| 18 | Ryazan | 15 | 5 | -2 | 14 |
| 19 | Rubin Tyumen | 12 | 7 | -3 | 14 |
| 24 | Olympia | 14 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 25 | Zvezda Moscow | 14 | 5 | -12 | 11 |
| 26 | Kurgan | 12 | 3 | -14 | 10 |
VHL on the same day
- 42582The model's most likely outcome: 223%Model's score: 1:34.7
- 72281The model's most likely outcome: 120%Model's score: 3:15.0
- 45552The model's most likely outcome: 224%Model's score: 1:24.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 39% will not happen in roughly 61 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →