Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Saturday, 10 October, MSK

Andreeva M. — Bartunkova N.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Came true
Andreeva M.62%
Bartunkova N.38%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Andreeva M. to win (62%), came true.

Andreeva M. are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Andreeva M. 1867, Bartunkova N. 1749.

Probabilities

Games over 21.550%
Games under 21.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Andreeva M. games
  • Bartunkova N. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Andreeva M.

  • 08.10Alexandrova E.2:0
  • 06.10Snigur D.2:0
  • 04.10Kudermetova P.2:0
  • 02.10Yuan Y.2:1
  • 25.09Fernandez L.0:2

Bartunkova N.

  • 08.10Muchova K.2:0
  • 06.10Kraus S.2:1
  • 04.10Sabalenka A.2:0
  • 02.10Frech M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Zheng Q.Andreeva M.11 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • Tagger L.Bartunkova N.13 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 1:0. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:1. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →