Tennis: WTA, Beijing, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Burrage J. — Hontama M.

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Model prediction and result

1:2Missed
Burrage J.60%
Hontama M.40%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:2: the model's most likely outcome, Burrage J. to win (60%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 60% fails in about 40 matches out of 100 on average.

Burrage J. are slightly stronger: 60% against 40%.

Over 23.5 games — 49%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Burrage J. 1521, Hontama M. 1452.

Probabilities

Games over 23.549%
Games under 23.551%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Burrage J. games
  • Hontama M. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Burrage J.

  • 28.09Sramkova R.2:0

Hontama M.

  • 28.09Panova A.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Hontama M.Boulter K.30 September · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 60% will not happen in roughly 40 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →