Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Ito A. — Birrell K.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Ito A.35%
Birrell K.65%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Birrell K. to win (65%), came true.

Birrell K. are clear favourites: 65% against 35% for the opponent.

Over 22.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Ito A. 1478, Birrell K. 1587.

Probabilities

Games over 22.551%
Games under 22.549%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Ito A. games
  • Birrell K. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Ito A.

No past matches in the data yet.

Birrell K.

  • 27.09Joint M.2:0
  • 26.09Bondar A.2:1
  • 26.09Volynets K.2:1
  • 24.09Ma Y.2:0
  • 22.09Zidansek T.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Bouzkova M.Birrell K.3 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • Ito A.Parks A.10 October · WTA · Wuhan
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 65% will not happen in roughly 35 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →