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Tennis: WTA, Beijing, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Lazaro Garcia A. — Fruhvirtova L.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Lazaro Garcia A.43%
Fruhvirtova L.57%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Fruhvirtova L. to win (57%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 57% fails in about 43 matches out of 100 on average.

Fruhvirtova L. are slightly stronger: 57% against 43%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Lazaro Garcia A. 1539, Fruhvirtova L. 1479.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Lazaro Garcia A. games
  • Fruhvirtova L. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Lazaro Garcia A.

  • 28.09Jialin T.2:1

Fruhvirtova L.

  • 28.09Ye S.2:1
  • 22.09Sakkari M.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next matches

  • Bai Z.Fruhvirtova L.30 September · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • Kartal S.Lazaro Garcia A.1 October · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5

WTA on the same day

  • Dart H.Ma Y.
    2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Jacquemot E.Wolff V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • Kawa K.Savinykh V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • Wang J.Bai Z.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • Bassols M.You X.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • Kalieva E.Shi H.
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • Sasnovich A.Lepchenko V.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • Montgomery R.Friedsam A-L.
    1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 57% will not happen in roughly 43 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →