Tennis: WTA, Wuhan, hard · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

Li A. — Osorio C.

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Model prediction and result

1:0Came true
Li A.59%
Osorio C.41%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 1:0: the model's most likely outcome, Li A. to win (59%), came true.

Li A. are slightly stronger: 59% against 41%.

Over 21.5 games — 52%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Li A. 1642, Osorio C. 1612.

Probabilities

Games over 21.552%
Games under 21.548%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Li A. games
  • Osorio C. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Li A.

  • 07.10Svitolina E.0:2
  • 05.10Bencic B.2:0
  • 03.10Krueger A.2:0

Osorio C.

  • 11.10Volynets K.1:2
  • 10.10Grant T. C.2:1
  • 03.10Gauff C.1:2
  • 01.10Tararudee L.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Sabalenka A.Li A.14 October · WTA · Wuhan
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:018.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.21.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.18.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:1. Model's score: 0:2.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.19.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 59% will not happen in roughly 41 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →