Tennis: WTA, Beijing, hard · Thursday, 1 October, MSK

Volynets K. — Montgomery R.

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Model prediction and result

2:0Missed
Volynets K.44%
Montgomery R.56%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:0: the model's most likely outcome, Montgomery R. to win (56%), did not happen. That happens: an outcome at 56% fails in about 44 matches out of 100 on average.

Montgomery R. are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Volynets K. 1497, Montgomery R. 1535.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Volynets K. games
  • Montgomery R. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Volynets K.

  • 26.09Birrell K.1:2
  • 23.09Rakhimova K.2:0
  • 21.09Kalieva E.2:0

Montgomery R.

  • 29.09Friedsam A-L.2:0
  • 28.09Teixido Garcia A.2:0
  • 22.09Park S.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Volynets K.Mertens E.3 October · WTA · Beijing
    2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.20.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 1:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.18.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:1. Model's score: 2:0.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 0:2. Model's score: 0:2, exactly right.21.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →