Tennis: WTA, Beijing, qualifying, hard · Tuesday, 29 September, MSK

Wang J. — Bai Z.

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Model prediction and result

0:2Came true
Wang J.42%
Bai Z.58%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 0:2: the model's most likely outcome, Bai Z. to win (58%), came true.

Bai Z. are slightly stronger: 58% against 42%.

Over 23.5 games — 50%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Wang J. 1537, Bai Z. 1488.

Probabilities

Games over 23.550%
Games under 23.550%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Wang J. games
  • Bai Z. games
  • Score in sets
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Form

Wang J.

  • 28.09Gleason Q.2:0

Bai Z.

  • 28.09Hodzic M.2:0

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Bai Z.Fruhvirtova L.30 September · WTA · Beijing
    1The most likely outcome did not happen: 1Final score 0:2. Model's score: 2:0.23.5

WTA on the same day

  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.21.5
  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.23.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 58% will not happen in roughly 42 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →