Tennis: ATP, Shanghai, hard · Tuesday, 13 October, MSK

Zverev A. — Bublik A.

☆ Save match

Model prediction and result

2:1Came true
Zverev A.76%
Bublik A.24%
Model estimate at MSK, the last one before kick-off

In short

Final score 2:1: the model's most likely outcome, Zverev A. to win (76%), came true.

Zverev A. are clear favourites: 76% against 24% for the opponent.

Over 21.5 games — 51%.

Why

  • Rating on hard: Zverev A. 1893, Bublik A. 1711.

Probabilities

Games over 21.551%
Games under 21.549%

100 more model lines in Premium

All totals and handicaps, team totals, the score grid, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • Games handicap
  • Sets handicap
  • First set
  • Zverev A. games
  • Bublik A. games
  • Score in sets
Get Premiumfrom $5.99 a month

Form

Zverev A.

  • 11.10Halys Q.2:1
  • 09.10Wu Y.2:0
  • 04.10Djokovic N.1:2
  • 03.10Shang J.2:0
  • 01.10Norrie C.2:0

Bublik A.

  • 11.10Nakashima B.2:1
  • 09.10Machac T.2:0
  • 01.10Mensik J.0:2

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Next match

  • Zverev A.De Minaur A.16 October · ATP · Shanghai
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: 2:021.5

ATP on the same day

  • 1The most likely outcome came true: 1Final score 2:0. Model's score: 2:0, exactly right.22.5
  • 2The most likely outcome did not happen: 2Final score 2:0. Model's score: 0:2.23.5
  • 2The most likely outcome came true: 2Final score 1:2. Model's score: 0:2.24.5

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 76% will not happen in roughly 24 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →