Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Tuesday, 3 November, MSK
Quimsa — Penarol
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 3 November
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Quimsa are clear favourites: 80% against 20% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 87:77 — 164 points in total.
Over 163.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Quimsa +7.0, Penarol +0.5 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Quimsa — Penarol | 87.0–76.7 | |
| Total over 163.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 163.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Quimsa points
- Penarol points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 11.10Boca Juniors105:96
- 06.10Atenas83:77
- 04.10Platense94:67
- 21.06away · Gimnasia56:68
- 18.06Gimnasia88:60
Head to head
- 03.02.2026Quimsa — Penarol89:66
- 09.10.2025Penarol — Quimsa88:85
- 29.03.2025Penarol — Quimsa63:81
- 25.01.2025Quimsa — Penarol79:84
- 19.06.2024Quimsa — Penarol91:60
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Quimsa | 3 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | San Lorenzo | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 3, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Regatas | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Penarol | 1 | 0 | 1.000 | 1 |
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 0.5 |
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 80% will not happen in roughly 20 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →