Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Argentino — Boca Juniors

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Model prediction for 22 October

Argentino26%
Boca Juniors74%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boca Juniors are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 82:89 — 171 point in total.

Over 170.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Argentino −8.1, Boca Juniors +3.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Argentino — Boca Juniors81.9–89.5
Total over 170.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 170.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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  • All totals
  • Argentino points
  • Boca Juniors points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Argentino

  • 13.10Gimnasia82:87
  • 11.10San Martin82:79
  • 01.10Ferro79:68
  • 13.05Atenas88:77
  • 10.05Atenas61:53

Boca Juniors

  • 13.10away · Olimpico80:93
  • 11.10away · Quimsa96:105
  • 08.10Obera TC96:73
  • 01.06Quimsa83:94
  • 30.05Quimsa99:92

Head to head

  • 11.02.2026Argentino — Boca Juniors56:98
  • 07.12.2025Boca Juniors — Argentino116:83
  • 21.05.2025Boca Juniors — Argentino89:81
  • 06.12.2024Argentino — Boca Juniors61:60
  • 09.05.2024Boca Juniors — Argentino89:52

Full record: 14 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsInstituto de Cordoba321.6671
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsArgentino321.6671
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsLa Union211.5001.5
13Olimpico312.3332
14Boca Juniors312.3332
15Ferro413.2502.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →