Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 23 October, MSK
Atenas — Lanus
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 23 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Atenas are clear favourites: 74% against 26% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 85:77 — 162 points in total.
Over 161.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Atenas −2.4, Lanus −6.3 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Atenas — Lanus | 84.7–77.1 | |
| Total over 161.5 (incl. OT) | 49% | |
| Total under 161.5 (incl. OT) | 51% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Atenas points
- Lanus points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10Ferro91:86
- 08.10away · Olimpico91:87
- 06.10away · Quimsa77:83
- 13.05away · Argentino77:88
- 10.05away · Argentino53:61
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Gimnasia | 4 | 2 | .667 | 0.5 |
| 6, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Atenas | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Instituto de Cordoba | 2 | 1 | .667 | 1 |
| 10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Racing de Chivilcoy | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 11, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Lanus | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1.5 |
| 12, Play-in round for the quarter-finals | Platense | 1 | 2 | .333 | 2 |
Liga Nacional on the same day
- ArgentinoQuimsapreliminary17832The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —166.6
- Racing de ChivilcoyBoca Juniorspreliminary40602The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —173.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 74% will not happen in roughly 26 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →