Liga Nacional de Básquet (Argentina) · Friday, 23 October, 23:00 MSK

Racing de Chivilcoy — Boca Juniors

Model prediction for 23 October

Racing de Chivilcoy44%

Boca Juniors56%

Model estimate at 11:42 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Boca Juniors are slightly stronger: 56% against 44%.

The model expects a score around 86:88 — 173 points in total.

Over 172.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Racing de Chivilcoy −2.4, Boca Juniors +3.1 points in regulation.

Facts

League table: Racing de Chivilcoy — No. 9, 2–1; Boca Juniors — No. 14, 1–2.
Last 2 meetings: Racing de Chivilcoy 0 wins, Boca Juniors 2.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Racing de Chivilcoy — Boca Juniors		85.8–87.7
Total over 172.5 (incl. OT)		51%
Total under 172.5 (incl. OT)		49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Racing de Chivilcoy points
Boca Juniors points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Racing de Chivilcoy

14.10away · Obera TC84:78
11.10Gimnasia72:78
09.10San Martin126:123
18.04Regatas76:93
13.04San Lorenzo80:66

Boca Juniors

13.10away · Olimpico80:93
11.10away · Quimsa96:105
08.10Obera TC96:73
01.06Quimsa83:94
30.05Quimsa99:92

Head to head

13.02.2026Racing de Chivilcoy — Boca Juniors84:86
25.09.2025Boca Juniors — Racing de Chivilcoy82:67

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Argentino	3	2	1	.667	1
9, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Racing de Chivilcoy	3	2	1	.667	1
10, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	La Union	2	1	1	.500	1.5
13	Olimpico	3	1	2	.333	2
14	Boca Juniors	3	1	2	.333	2
15	Ferro	4	1	3	.250	2.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga Nacional on the same day

23:00
ArgentinoQuimsapreliminary
1783
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —166.6
23:00
AtenasLanuspreliminary
7426
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.8

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 56% will not happen in roughly 44 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →