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Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Basket Zaragoza — Basquet Girona

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Model prediction for 31 October

Basket Zaragoza73%
Basquet Girona27%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Basket Zaragoza are clear favourites: 73% against 27% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 94:87 — 181 point in total.

Over 180.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Basket Zaragoza −2.7, Basquet Girona −6.5 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Basket Zaragoza — Basquet Girona94.0–86.8
Total over 180.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 180.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Basket Zaragoza points
  • Basquet Girona points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Basket Zaragoza

  • 10.10away · Leyma Coruna92:71
  • 04.10Valencia82:97
  • 27.09away · Tenerife81:80
  • 29.05away · Breogan95:94
  • 26.05Valencia86:98

Basquet Girona

  • 10.10away · Breogan92:115
  • 04.10away · Baskonia78:118
  • 27.09Murcia84:77
  • 29.05Joventut Badalona82:77
  • 24.05away · Bilbao80:86

Head to head

  • 02.05.2026Basquet Girona — Basket Zaragoza90:81
  • 24.01.2026Basket Zaragoza — Basquet Girona90:94
  • 09.02.2025Basquet Girona — Basket Zaragoza89:101
  • 29.12.2024Basket Zaragoza — Basquet Girona96:68
  • 12.05.2024Basquet Girona — Basket Zaragoza79:89

Full record: 8 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
3, PlayoffsBreogan3301.000—
4, PlayoffsBasket Zaragoza321.6671
5, PlayoffsBilbao321.6671
9San Pablo Burgos312.3332
10Basquet Girona312.3332
11Unicaja312.3332

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

  • MurciaForca Lleidapreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —180.3
  • Leyma CorunaTenerifepreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —186.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 73% will not happen in roughly 27 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →