Liga ACB (Spanish basketball league) · Saturday, 31 October, MSK

Leyma Coruna — Tenerife

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Model prediction for 31 October

Leyma Coruna23%
Tenerife77%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Tenerife are clear favourites: 77% against 23% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 89:98 — 186 points in total.

Over 185.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Leyma Coruna −9.4, Tenerife +2.8 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Leyma Coruna — Tenerife88.8–97.6
Total over 185.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 185.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Leyma Coruna points
  • Tenerife points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Leyma Coruna

  • 10.10Basket Zaragoza71:92
  • 04.10Bilbao104:101
  • 26.09away · Barcelona101:119
  • 30.05Baskonia101:105
  • 24.05away · Murcia93:105

Tenerife

  • 11.10away · Murcia90:77
  • 06.10away · London Lions77:89
  • 03.10away · Unicaja80:75
  • 30.09Turk Telekom82:75
  • 27.09Basket Zaragoza80:81

Head to head

  • 26.04.2025Tenerife — Leyma Coruna92:83
  • 10.11.2024Leyma Coruna — Tenerife62:87

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
7, PlayoffsObradoiro CAB321.6671
8, PlayoffsTenerife321.6671
9San Pablo Burgos312.3332
12Forca Lleida312.3332
13Leyma Coruna312.3332
14Valencia312.3332

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

Liga ACB on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 77% will not happen in roughly 23 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →