NBB (Novo Basquete Brasil) · Thursday, 22 October, MSK

Bauru — Sao Jose

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Model prediction for 22 October

Bauru62%
Sao Jose38%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Bauru are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 83:80 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Bauru +1.0, Sao Jose +0.2 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Bauru — Sao Jose83.4–79.7
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Bauru points
  • Sao Jose points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Bauru

  • 30.04away · Paulistano62:71
  • 27.04Paulistano88:75
  • 25.04Paulistano80:95
  • 22.04away · Paulistano77:80
  • 18.04away · Brasilia65:94

Sao Jose

  • 28.04away · Mogi70:81
  • 25.04away · Mogi75:79
  • 23.04Mogi70:75
  • 18.04away · Uniao Corinthians88:97
  • 16.04away · Caxias do Sul68:65

Head to head

  • 12.03.2026Sao Jose — Bauru71:96
  • 04.12.2025Bauru — Sao Jose84:91
  • 28.02.2025Sao Jose — Bauru83:78
  • 03.11.2024Bauru — Sao Jose73:67
  • 04.04.2024Bauru — Sao Jose91:92

Full record: 13 meetings →

NBB on the same day

  • FrancaMogipreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —158.2
  • PatoPaulistanopreliminary
    2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —154.9

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →