EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Cedevita Olimpija — Le Mans

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Model prediction for 21 October

Cedevita Olimpija82%
Le Mans18%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cedevita Olimpija are clear favourites: 82% against 18% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 86:75 — 161 point in total.

Over 160.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Cedevita Olimpija +0.9, Le Mans −8.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Cedevita Olimpija — Le Mans86.3–74.6
Total over 160.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 160.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Cedevita Olimpija points
  • Le Mans points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Cedevita Olimpija

  • 06.10Hapoel Jerusalem64:75
  • 30.09away · San Pablo Burgos81:85
  • 17.03away · JL Bourg79:83
  • 11.03Chemnitz73:65
  • 10.02away · Slask Wroclaw114:81

Le Mans

  • 07.10away · Tortona83:89
  • 29.09Aris74:87

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group A

Table «Group A», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsHapoel Jerusalem2201.000—
2, PlayoffsAris2201.000—
3, PlayoffsRostock211.5001
4, PlayoffsRigas Zelli211.5001
5San Pablo Burgos211.5001
6Tortona211.5001
7Cedevita Olimpija202.0002
8Le Mans202.0002

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.4
  • PAOKUlmpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.5
  • JL BourgTrentopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 82% will not happen in roughly 18 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →