EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK
Basket Napoli — Tofas
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 21 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Basket Napoli are clear favourites: 62% against 38% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 86:82 — 167 points in total.
Over 166.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Basket Napoli −0.6, Tofas −2.1 points in regulation.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Basket Napoli — Tofas | 85.5–81.6 | |
| Total over 166.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 166.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Basket Napoli points
- Tofas points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 06.10away · JL Bourg89:82
- 29.09Chemnitz82:69
- 04.03MoraBanc Andorra97:94
- 05.02away · Unicaja68:76
- 28.01Joventut Badalona91:76
Head to head
No previous meetings in the data.
Table
Group C
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1, Playoffs | Basket Napoli | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 2, Playoffs | Tofas | 2 | 0 | 1.000 | — |
| 3, Playoffs | Chemnitz | 2 | 1 | .667 | 0.5 |
| 4, Playoffs | Buducnost | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 5 | Slask Wroclaw | 1 | 1 | .500 | 1 |
| 6 | Trento | 1 | 2 | .333 | 1.5 |
| 7 | Neptunas | 1 | 2 | .333 | 1.5 |
| 8 | JL Bourg | 0 | 3 | .000 | 2.5 |
EuroCup on the same day
- Cluj-NapocaLondon Lionspreliminary62381The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.8
- Cedevita OlimpijaLe Manspreliminary82181The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.9
- ChemnitzSlask Wroclawpreliminary72281The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.4
- PAOKUlmpreliminary66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.9
- TortonaSan Pablo Burgospreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.3
- FrankfurtTenerifepreliminary47532The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.5
- JL BourgTrentopreliminary73271The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.1
- KK BosnaBahcesehir Kol.preliminary25752The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.1
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 62% will not happen in roughly 38 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →