EuroCup (basketball) · Wednesday, 21 October, MSK

Chemnitz — Slask Wroclaw

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Model prediction for 21 October

Chemnitz72%
Slask Wroclaw28%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Chemnitz are clear favourites: 72% against 28% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 88:81 — 168 points in total.

Over 167.5 points (incl. overtime) — 51%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: Chemnitz −3.5, Slask Wroclaw −8.3 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Chemnitz — Slask Wroclaw87.8–80.5
Total over 167.5 (incl. OT)51%
Total under 167.5 (incl. OT)49%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • Chemnitz points
  • Slask Wroclaw points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

Chemnitz

  • 13.10away · Trento88:80
  • 07.10Neptunas93:84
  • 29.09away · Tofas69:82
  • 11.03away · Cedevita Olimpija65:73
  • 11.02away · Turk Telekom62:79

Slask Wroclaw

  • 06.10away · Trento94:81
  • 30.09Buducnost75:99
  • 10.02Cedevita Olimpija81:114
  • 03.02away · Bahcesehir Kol.82:80
  • 28.01away · Hamburg96:99

Head to head

No previous meetings in the data.

Table

Group C

Table «Group C», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, PlayoffsBasket Napoli2201.000—
2, PlayoffsTofas2201.000—
3, PlayoffsChemnitz321.6670.5
4, PlayoffsBuducnost211.5001
5Slask Wroclaw211.5001
6Trento312.3331.5
7Neptunas312.3331.5
8JL Bourg303.0002.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroCup on the same day

  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.8
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —160.9
  • PAOKUlmpreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.9
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —171.3
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —167.5
  • JL BourgTrentopreliminary
    1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —161.1
  • 2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —160.1
  • 1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —167.1

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 72% will not happen in roughly 28 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →