NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK

Cleveland Cavaliers — Minnesota Timberwolves

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Model prediction for 27 October

Cleveland Cavaliers71%
Minnesota Timberwolves29%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Cleveland Cavaliers are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 120:112 — 232 points in total.

Over 232.5 points (incl. overtime) — 49%.

Why

  • Minnesota Timberwolves without Donte DiVincenzo: that costs the team about 2.1 points a game.
  • Minnesota Timberwolves play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Cleveland Cavaliers — Minnesota Timberwolves120.0–112.5
Total over 232.5 (incl. OT)49%
Total under 232.5 (incl. OT)51%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

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Form

Cleveland Cavaliers

  • 26.05New York Knicks93:130
  • 24.05New York Knicks108:121
  • 22.05away · New York Knicks93:109
  • 20.05away · New York Knicks104:115
  • 18.05away · Detroit Pistons125:94

Minnesota Timberwolves

  • 16.05San Antonio Spurs109:139
  • 13.05away · San Antonio Spurs97:126
  • 11.05San Antonio Spurs114:109
  • 09.05San Antonio Spurs108:115
  • 07.05away · San Antonio Spurs95:133

Head to head

  • 10.01.2026Cleveland Cavaliers — Minnesota Timberwolves146:134
  • 09.01.2026Minnesota Timberwolves — Cleveland Cavaliers131:122
  • 11.02.2025Cleveland Cavaliers — Minnesota Timberwolves128:107
  • 19.01.2025Minnesota Timberwolves — Cleveland Cavaliers117:124
  • 23.03.2024Minnesota Timberwolves — Cleveland Cavaliers104:91

Full record: 14 meetings →

NBA on the same day

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →