NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Oklahoma City Thunder — Phoenix Suns
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Oklahoma City Thunder are clear favourites: 66% against 34% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 115:109 — 225 points in total.
Over 224.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Phoenix Suns without Mark Williams: that costs the team about 4.2 points a game.
- Oklahoma City Thunder play the second night of a back-to-back: in NBA history that is worth about 1.7 points of margin.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Oklahoma City Thunder — Phoenix Suns | 115.2–109.4 | |
| Total over 224.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 224.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Oklahoma City Thunder points
- Phoenix Suns points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 31.05San Antonio Spurs103:111
- 29.05away · San Antonio Spurs91:118
- 27.05San Antonio Spurs127:114
- 25.05away · San Antonio Spurs82:103
- 23.05away · San Antonio Spurs123:108
- 28.04Oklahoma City Thunder122:131
- 25.04Oklahoma City Thunder109:121
- 23.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder107:120
- 19.04away · Oklahoma City Thunder84:119
- 18.04Golden State Warriors111:96
Head to head
- 28.04.2026Phoenix Suns — Oklahoma City Thunder122:131
- 25.04.2026Phoenix Suns — Oklahoma City Thunder109:121
- 23.04.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Phoenix Suns120:107
- 19.04.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Phoenix Suns119:84
- 13.04.2026Oklahoma City Thunder — Phoenix Suns103:135
NBA on the same day
- Charlotte HornetsWashington Wizardspreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.4
- Cleveland CavaliersMinnesota Timberwolvespreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —232.4
- Boston CelticsChicago Bullspreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Miami HeatDallas Maverickspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —234.9
- Milwaukee BucksIndiana Pacerspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.3
- Houston RocketsAtlanta Hawkspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.7
- Utah JazzMemphis Grizzliespreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —243.2
- Denver NuggetsGolden State Warriorspreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —238.7
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 66% will not happen in roughly 34 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →