EuroLeague (basketball) · Friday, 16 October, MSK
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Paris
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 16 October
In short
Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet are clear favourites: 75% against 25% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 91:83 — 174 points in total.
Over 173.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Team strength against the league average: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet +0.1, Paris −4.4 points in regulation.
Facts
- League table: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — No. 5, 3–2; Paris — No. 16, 1–3.
- Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet: 3 wins in a row.
- Last 4 meetings: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 3 wins, Paris 1.
- Days of rest before the match: Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet 3, Paris 9.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Paris | 91.1–83.2 | |
| Total over 173.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 173.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
- All handicaps
- All totals
- Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet points
- Paris points
- Regulation 1X2
- Offence and defence strength
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Form
- 13.10away · Lyon-Villeurbanne84:82
- 08.10away · Dubai77:58
- 01.10Anadolu Efes77:72
- 29.09Hapoel Tel Aviv80:81
- 24.09Zalgiris Kaunas77:83
- 07.10Lyon-Villeurbanne96:98
- 01.10Zalgiris Kaunas82:78
- 29.09Partizan Mozzart Bet79:92
- 24.09away · Panathinaikos72:91
- 17.04away · Zalgiris Kaunas79:85
Head to head
- 07.04.2026Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Paris94:81
- 23.12.2025Paris — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet102:92
- 10.01.2025Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet — Paris85:69
- 04.10.2024Paris — Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet77:80
Table
| # | Team | W | L | PCT | GB |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Valencia | 4 | 1 | .800 | 1 |
| 5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals | Partizan Mozzart Bet | 3 | 2 | .600 | 2 |
| 15 | Anadolu Efes | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 16 | Paris | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
| 17 | Bayern | 1 | 3 | .250 | 3.5 |
EuroLeague on the same day
- 66341The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —177.3
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —163.8
- 81191The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —169.9
- 36642The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —175.4
- 74261The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —179.0
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 75% will not happen in roughly 25 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →