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Responsible gambling

Forepitch is for adults (18+). We publish the probabilities a statistical model calculates. We do not take bets, we do not advise anyone to bet and we do not work with bookmakers.

The model gets things wrong — and we show it

  • An outcome at 70% does not happen in roughly 30 matches out of 100. That is not a failure; it is what «probability» means.
  • How often the model is actually right, league by league, is on the Model accuracy page.
  • Every week we publish the model’s week: what came true, what the model expected and its biggest misses. We do not hide the failures.
  • No model makes betting risk-free. Anyone promising a «sure thing» or a «fixed match» is running a scam.

If you bet

  • Only stake money you can afford to lose. Never borrow to bet, and never bet money meant for rent, food or bills.
  • Decide on a monthly amount in advance and stick to it. Most bookmakers let you set deposit and time limits — use them.
  • Do not chase losses: it is the fastest way to lose a lot. Why systems like the martingale do not work is explained in Betting strategies.
  • Do not bet when upset, after drinking, or to solve money problems.

Signs that gambling has become a problem

  • You bet more than you planned, or ever larger amounts to feel the excitement.
  • You try to win back what you lost.
  • You borrow money or sell things to bet.
  • You hide your betting from the people close to you, or argue about it.
  • You think about betting all the time and feel restless when you cannot.
  • Betting gets in the way of work, study or sleep.

If two or more of these sound familiar, take a break and talk to someone — a person close to you or a professional.

What helps

  • Self-exclusion. Bookmakers must close your account on request, for a while or for good. Some countries have national self-exclusion schemes (GAMSTOP in the UK, RGIAJ in Spain).
  • Blocking. Gambling-site blocking software, and gambling payment blocks offered by some banks.
  • Talking. A therapist or an addiction specialist: gambling disorder is a recognised condition, and it can be treated.

Where to get help

  • Gamblers Anonymous — self-help groups in many countries, including Nigeria, Ghana and South Africa: gamblersanonymous.org.
  • Gambling Therapy — free, anonymous online support for people in any country and their families: gamblingtherapy.org.
  • United Kingdom: National Gambling Helpline 0808 8020 133 (GamCare); self-exclusion with GAMSTOP.
  • United States: 1-800-GAMBLER (National Council on Problem Gambling).
  • Brazil: CVV emotional support, phone 188 (cvv.org.br); Jogadores Anônimos.
  • Spain and Latin America: Jugadores Anónimos — groups in most countries.

If you or someone close to you is in danger right now, call your country’s emergency number.