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VTB United League (basketball) · Friday, 23 October, MSK

CSKA Moscow — Saratov

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Model prediction for 23 October

CSKA Moscow98%
Saratov2%
Model estimate at MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

CSKA Moscow are clear favourites: 98% against 2% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 94:68 — 163 points in total.

Over 162.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

  • Team strength against the league average: CSKA Moscow +17.3, Saratov −7.3 points in regulation.

Facts

  • League table: CSKA Moscow — No. 1, 4–0; Saratov — No. 6, 2–2.
  • CSKA Moscow: 5 wins in a row.
  • Last 5 meetings: CSKA Moscow 5 wins, Saratov 0.
  • Days of rest before the match: CSKA Moscow 9, Saratov 12.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): CSKA Moscow — Saratov94.4–68.1
Total over 162.5 (incl. OT)50%
Total under 162.5 (incl. OT)50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

  • All handicaps
  • All totals
  • CSKA Moscow points
  • Saratov points
  • Regulation 1X2
  • Offence and defence strength
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Form

CSKA Moscow

  • 14.10away · Dynamo Vladivostok103:88
  • 11.10Lokomotiv Kuban87:84
  • 07.10Uralmash Ekaterinburg90:85
  • 27.09away · MBA Moscow82:65
  • 10.06away · Unics Kazan102:76

Saratov

  • 11.10away · Zenit Petersburg71:91
  • 06.10away · Enisey74:72
  • 30.09Uralmash Ekaterinburg75:80
  • 26.09Samara77:69
  • 22.04away · Uralmash Ekaterinburg54:86

Head to head

  • 19.03.2026Saratov — CSKA Moscow67:105
  • 08.02.2026CSKA Moscow — Saratov95:60
  • 05.01.2026CSKA Moscow — Saratov94:49
  • 08.11.2025Saratov — CSKA Moscow82:86
  • 08.03.2025Saratov — CSKA Moscow69:87

Full record: 20 meetings →

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#TeamPWLPCTGB
1, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsCSKA Moscow4401.000—
2, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsUnics Kazan431.7501
5, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsParma Perm422.5002
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finalsSaratov422.5002
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finalsMBA Moscow312.3332.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 98% will not happen in roughly 2 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →