NBA (National Basketball Association) · Tuesday, 27 October, MSK
Denver Nuggets — Golden State Warriors
☆ Save matchModel prediction for 27 October
Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.
In short
Denver Nuggets are clear favourites: 71% against 29% for the opponent.
The model expects a score around 123:116 — 239 points in total.
Over 238.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.
Why
- Golden State Warriors without Jimmy Butler III, Moses Moody: that costs the team about 7.5 points a game.
- Golden State Warriors play a third game in four nights — fatigue costs about 0.6 points.
Probabilities
| Expected points (incl. overtime): Denver Nuggets — Golden State Warriors | 123.1–115.6 | |
| Total over 238.5 (incl. OT) | 50% | |
| Total under 238.5 (incl. OT) | 50% |
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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, who may miss the game, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.
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- All totals
- Denver Nuggets points
- Golden State Warriors points
- Regulation 1X2
- Who may miss the game
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Form
- 01.05away · Minnesota Timberwolves98:110
- 28.04Minnesota Timberwolves125:113
- 26.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:112
- 24.04away · Minnesota Timberwolves96:113
- 21.04Minnesota Timberwolves114:119
- 18.04away · Phoenix Suns96:111
- 16.04away · Los Angeles Clippers126:121
- 13.04away · Los Angeles Clippers110:115
- 11.04away · Sacramento Kings118:124
- 10.04Los Angeles Lakers103:119
Head to head
- 30.03.2026Denver Nuggets — Golden State Warriors116:93
- 22.02.2026Golden State Warriors — Denver Nuggets128:117
- 08.11.2025Denver Nuggets — Golden State Warriors129:104
- 24.10.2025Golden State Warriors — Denver Nuggets137:131 OT
- 05.04.2025Golden State Warriors — Denver Nuggets118:104
NBA on the same day
- Charlotte HornetsWashington Wizardspreliminary78221The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.4
- Cleveland CavaliersMinnesota Timberwolvespreliminary71291The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —232.9
- Boston CelticsChicago Bullspreliminary80201The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —227.8
- Miami HeatDallas Maverickspreliminary46542The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —234.9
- Milwaukee BucksIndiana Pacerspreliminary50501The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —233.3
- Oklahoma City ThunderPhoenix Sunspreliminary60401The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —224.5
- Houston RocketsAtlanta Hawkspreliminary69311The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —225.7
- Utah JazzMemphis Grizzliespreliminary58421The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —243.2
This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 71% will not happen in roughly 29 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →