EuroLeague (basketball) · Tuesday, 27 October, 19:00 MSK

Dubai — Paris

Model prediction for 27 October

Dubai68%

Paris32%

Model estimate at 02:46 MSK

Preliminary forecast: the match is more than a week away. Closer to it the model takes in fresh form, injuries and line-ups, and the numbers may move.

In short

Dubai are clear favourites: 68% against 32% for the opponent.

The model expects a score around 91:86 — 177 points in total.

Over 176.5 points (incl. overtime) — 50%.

Why

Team strength against the league average: Dubai −2.2, Paris −4.4 points in regulation.

Probabilities

Expected points (incl. overtime): Dubai — Paris		91.4–85.8
Total over 176.5 (incl. OT)		50%
Total under 176.5 (incl. OT)		50%

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All totals and handicaps, team totals, the regulation 1X2, the teams’ offence and defence, every factor and how the estimate moved before kick-off.

All handicaps
All totals
Dubai points
Paris points
Regulation 1X2
Offence and defence strength

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Form

Dubai

13.10away · Baskonia93:79
08.10Crvena Zvezda Meridianbet58:77
02.10away · Fenerbahce66:76
29.09Barcelona94:87
24.09Real Madrid78:77

Paris

07.10Lyon-Villeurbanne96:98
01.10Zalgiris Kaunas82:78
29.09Partizan Mozzart Bet79:92
24.09away · Panathinaikos72:91
17.04away · Zalgiris Kaunas79:85

Head to head

22.01.2026Paris — Dubai79:99
25.11.2025Dubai — Paris90:89

Table

Table «Overall», season 2026/27
#	Team	P	W	L	PCT	GB
6, Playoffs: straight to the quarter-finals	Partizan Mozzart Bet	5	3	2	.600	2
7, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Dubai	5	3	2	.600	2
8, Play-in round for the quarter-finals	Barcelona	5	3	2	.600	2
15	Anadolu Efes	4	1	3	.250	3.5
16	Paris	4	1	3	.250	3.5
17	Bayern	4	1	3	.250	3.5

Season 2026/27 · by win percentage, ties by head-to-head record, then the points difference in those games and overall

Full table

EuroLeague on the same day

22:00
BayernBarcelonapreliminary
4753
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —171.7
22:00
Crvena Zvezda MeridianbetMaccabi Tel Avivpreliminary
7723
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —174.0
22:15
PanathinaikosOlimpia Milanopreliminary
919
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —168.7
22:30
ValenciaFenerbahcepreliminary
6535
1The model's most likely outcome: 1Model's score: —172.8
23:00
BaskoniaReal Madridpreliminary
3070
2The model's most likely outcome: 2Model's score: —183.4

This is the model’s statistical estimate, not a recommendation. An outcome at 68% will not happen in roughly 32 matches out of 100. How to read probabilities →